The FA Cup Round of 16 match between Newcastle and Brighton will take place on March 2 at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne. Newcastle vs. Brighton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's team faced lower-division opponents in the previous two rounds of the FA Cup and secured victories. First, the club defeated Bromley at home with a score of 3-1, and then they overcame Birmingham away (3-2). Last season, the team reached the quarter-finals, where they lost to Manchester City (0-2). Notably, the defeat to the Citizens is the only loss in regular time in the last six matches for the club in this tournament (4 wins and 1 draw).
- The club did not win the first half in 8 of their last 10 FA Cup matches (6 draws and 2 losses).
- The team has conceded at home in this tournament in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- In the last nine home FA Cup games, Newcastle has only won once in the second half (4 draws and 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Emil Krafth, Valentino Livramento, Matt Targett, Dan Burn – Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimarães, Lewis Miley – William Osula, Joseph Willock, Callum Wilson.
Brighton
The team started this FA Cup campaign with a resounding victory over Norwich (4-0). In the previous round, the opponent was much stronger, but with the support of their fans, the club managed to overcome Chelsea (2-1). Last season, Brighton was stopped in the Round of 16, losing to Wolverhampton (0-1). However, two years ago, the team reached the semi-finals of this tournament, where they only lost to Manchester United in a penalty shootout.
- The club has claimed 8 wins in regular time in their last 10 FA Cup matches (1 draw and 1 loss).
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Brighton's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- The team has not lost the second half in their last 12 FA Cup games (7 wins and 5 draws).
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Joël Veltman – Jack Hinshelwood, Carlos Baleba – Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Jorginho Rutter – Danny Welbeck.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 24 (Premier League and FA Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 29%.
Newcastle vs. Brighton: Match Prediction
Since Brighton's promotion to the Premier League in 2017, the opponents have faced each other 15 times in the league, with Newcastle winning only twice. Brighton has recorded six victories, and the remaining seven encounters ended in draws. Interestingly, in the first round, Eddie Howe's side lost at home with a score of 0-1.
The upcoming match presents a challenging opponent for the hosts. Therefore, I predict that the visitors will at least avoid defeat. Brighton is very dangerous even away from home in the FA Cup, having won 5 of their last 6 matches. Additionally, in the Premier League, Fabian Hürzeler's team has lost only once in their last seven away matches (3 wins and 3 draws). Meanwhile, Newcastle has not won in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the FA Cup (2 draws and 3 losses).
My prediction – Brighton to win or draw
